CAKE logo
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
CAKE
63.37 (-2.59%) 1.64
3.16(B)
Consumer Discretionary
Hotels Restaurants and Leisure
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. The company operates bakeries that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants international licensees third-party bakery customers external foodservice operators retailers and distributors. It operates restaurants under the brands comprising The Cheesecake Factory North Italia Flower Child and Fox Restaurant Concepts. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas California.
My Holdings:
(?% ownership)
Shares:
Cost basis:
Market cap:$3.16(B)
EV:$5.11(B)
Total Equity:$400.95(M)
Div. yield:1.70%
Earnings date:Oct-29-2025
P/E:18.92
P/E (fwd):16.76
P/FCF:24.00
P/S:0.82
P/B:7.87
EPS:$3.4
EPS (fwd):$3.8
FCF/share:$2.6
Dividend/share:$1.1
Book value/share:$8.1
ROIC:7.1%
ROA:5.3%
ROE:41.0%
Gross margin:39.9%
Net margin:4.3%

CAKE Valuation & Price Targets

Current Price
$63.4
Day change: -2.59%
PEvaluation
N/A
N/A
Analyst targets
N/A
N/A

More Valuation Methods

DCF (2-stage)
N/A
N/A
DCF (simple)
N/A
N/A
DCF (exit mult.)
N/A
N/A
Future P/E
N/A
N/A
Peter Lynch FV
N/A
N/A
Graham No.
N/A
N/A
DDM
N/A
N/A

PEvaluation

23% overvalued
Low
$36.8
Mid
$49.0
High
$61.3
Current price
$63.4
Fair P/E
Margin of safety
Market Model
Shares outstan...ROICRevenue growthDebt/FCFAssets/Liabili...
Economic moat: Medium

EPS Estimates

LowAvgHigh#
FY+13.73.83.917
FY+24.14.24.318
FY+34.54.74.98
EPS

Analyst Price Targets

6% undervalued
Low
$47.0
Mid
$67.0
High
$75.0
Current price
$63.4

Analyst Recommendations

Strong Buy1
Buy7
Hold7
Sell2
Strong Sell2

EPS Estimates

LowAvgHigh#
FY+13.73.83.917
FY+24.14.24.318
FY+34.54.74.98

2-stage DCF

First Stage Duration
Starting Free Cash Flow
First Stage Growth Rate
Terminal Growth Rate
Discount Rate

Discounted Cash Flow

Forecast years
Terminal Growth Rate
Discount Rate
Free cash flow estimates:
Y+1 est.
Y+2 est.
0.00%
Y+3 est.
0.00%
Y+4 est.
0.00%
Y+5 est.
0.00%

Discounted Cash Flow (exit mult.)

Forecast years
Exit FCF Multiple
Discount Rate
Free cash flow estimates:
Y+1 est.
Y+2 est.
0.00%
Y+3 est.
0.00%
Y+4 est.
0.00%
Y+5 est.
0.00%

Future P/E Valuation

Projection Years
Base Revenue
Revenue Growth Rate
Final Net Margin
Final P/E Ratio
Discount Rate

Peter Lynch Fair Value

Earnings Per Share
Growth Rate

Graham Formula

Earnings Per Share
EPS Growth (7-10 years)
Government Bond Rate

Dividend Discount Model

Annual Dividend
First Stage Length (Years)
First Stage Growth Rate
Final Growth Rate
Discount Rate

Summary

TTM Financials

Income (TTM)

RevenueGrossNet
Revenue$3.67(B)
Gross profit$1.47(B)
EBITDA$315.91(M)
Net income$158.90(M)
Gross margin39.9%
Operating margin6.6%
Net margin4.3%
Shares outstanding:49.81(M)

Balance sheet

Cash & ST inv.Other ST assetsLong term assetsCurrent liabilitiesLong term debtOther LT liabilitiesEquity
Total assets$3.15(B)
Current assets$379.39(M)
Total liabilities$2.75(B)
Current liabilities$737.05(M)
Cash & Short-term inv.$148.76(M)
Long-term debt$559.62(M)
Total intangibles$252.13(M)
PP&E$2.30(B)

Cash flow (TTM)

CFOCFICFF
FCF$131.21(M)
CapEx$-178.43(M)
Dividends paid$-53.16(M)
Stock issued$35.46(M)
Stock repurchased$-143.35(M)
Stock-based comp.$30.26(M)
Debt issued$575.00(M)
Debt repaid$-436.30(M)

Per share data (TTM)

Price: $63.4
Revenue: $77.4 (0.8x | 122.2%) Gross profit: $29.4 (2.2x | 46.4%) Earnings: $3.35 (18.9x | 5.3%)
FCF: $2.64 (24.0x | 4.2%) Stock-based Comp.: $0.61 (104.3x | 1.0%) Dividend: $1.08 (58.7x | 1.7%)
Total Assets: $63.3 (1.0x | 99.9%) Total Liabilities: $55.2 (1.1x | 87.2%) Book Value: $8.05 (7.9x | 12.7%) Cash & ST inv.: $2.99 (21.2x | 4.7%) Debt: $11.2 (5.6x | 17.7%)

Growth Estimates

Revenue

CAGR: 6.2%
FY+1FY+2FY+3
FY+1$3.77(B)
FY+2(+6.1%)$3.99(B)
FY+3(+6.3%)$4.25(B)

Net Income

CAGR: 10.5%
FY+1FY+2FY+3
FY+1$183.56(M)
FY+2(+9.8%)$201.58(M)
FY+3(+11.2%)$224.09(M)

EPS

CAGR: 11.4%
FY+1FY+2FY+3
FY+1$3.78
FY+2(+10.6%)$4.18
FY+3(+12.2%)$4.69

FCF per share

CAGR: 9.9%
FY+1FY+2FY+3
FY+1$7.11
FY+2(+6.6%)$7.58
FY+3(+13.3%)$8.59

Historical Financials

Showing limited histrical data.
YearlyQuarterly
Income
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY20240.01.0(B)2.0(B)3.0(B)
Revenue Operating Income Net IncomeCOGSGross ProfitTotal OpEx.R&DSG&AInterest ExpenseInterest IncomePre-tax incomeIncome tax
Cash flow
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY20240.050.0(M)100.0(M)
Stock-based Comp. FCFCFONet IncomeD&ACFFStock IssuedStock RepurchasedDebt IssuedDebt RepaidDividend PaidCFIAcquisitionsDivestituresCapital Expenditures
Balance sheet
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY20240.0500.0(M)1.0(B)1.5(B)2.0(B)2.5(B)3.0(B)
Total Assets Total LiabilitiesCurrent assetsCash and EquivalentsShort-term investmentsInventoriesReceivablesNon-current assetsNet PP&EIntangible AssetsGoodwillCurrent liabilitiesAccounts payableNon-current liabilitiesLong-Term DebtTotal Equity
Per share data
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024-6.0-4.0-2.00.02.0
EPS (Basic) FCF/Share Dividend/ShareEPS (Diluted)Book value/ShareCash & ST inv./ShareDebt/Share
Ratios
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY20240.010.020.030.040.0
P/E P/S EV/EarningsP/FCFP/BEV/FCFDebt/EquityPayout ratio
Margins
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY20240%10%20%30%40%
Net Income Margin Operating Margin Gross MarginEBITDA MarginFCF Margin
Returns
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY20240%1%2%3%4%5%6%7%
ROIC ROAROCEROE
Shares outstanding
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY20240.010.0(M)20.0(M)30.0(M)40.0(M)
Shares (Basic)Shares (Diluted)
Market Cap.
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY20240.0500.0(M)1.0(B)1.5(B)2.0(B)
Market Cap.

KPIs

No KPI data available yet!

Similar Companies

Ownership

Major holders

*Excludes indirect insider ownership

Insiders: 8.06%
Institutions: 116.09%

Institutional ownership

13.40% Blackrock Inc.10.44% Vanguard Group Inc6.11% Wellington Management ...5.41% Kayne Anderson Rudnick...5.37% Earnest Partners LLC5.20% Invesco Ltd.3.72% State Street Corporati...3.61% BAMCO Inc.3.55% Victory Capital Manage...3.22% American Century Compa...56.06% Others

Trading Summary

In the past year, insiders have bought $0.00 worth of the company's stock, and sold $37.47(M).

Congress members have bought between $0.00 - $0.00 worth of the company's stock, and sold between $0.00 - $0.00.

Insider transactions

2025-09

$0.00
$0.00

2025-08

$0.00
$0.00

2025-07

$816121
$0.00

2025-06

$1.11(M)
$0.00

2025-05

$10.23(M)
$0.00

2025-04

$0.00
$0.00

2025-03

$0.00
$0.00

2025-02

$12.09(M)
$0.00

2025-01

$0.00
$0.00

2024-12

$0.00
$0.00

2024-11

$13.23(M)
$0.00

2024-10

$0.00
$0.00

2024-09

$0.00
$0.00
DateSharesTotal ($)Price ($)NameTitle
Sell2025-07-3112,388816,12165.9CAPPELLO ALEXANDER LDirector
Grant2025-06-0918,800755,00840.2MAY SCARLETT AGeneral Counsel
Sell2025-06-0918,8001,105,84658.8MAY SCARLETT AGeneral Counsel
Grant2025-05-2920,8001,013,63648.7MAY SCARLETT AGeneral Counsel
Sell2025-05-2920,8001,165,12156.0MAY SCARLETT AGeneral Counsel
Grant2025-05-2850,5002,174,09443.1CARANGO KEITH TOfficer
Sell2025-05-2850,5002,783,37855.1CARANGO KEITH TOfficer
Grant2025-05-2742,9001,974,68746.0CLARK MATTHEW ELIOTChief Financial Officer
Sell2025-05-2742,9002,402,40056.0CLARK MATTHEW ELIOTChief Financial Officer
Grant2025-05-221,33700.0COLLINS KHANH PDirector
Grant2025-05-222,67400.0MEYER JANICE L.Director
Grant2025-05-222,67400.0CAPPELLO ALEXANDER LDirector
Grant2025-05-0862,4262,649,68242.4GORDON DAVID MPresident
Sell2025-05-0876,8783,881,09250.5GORDON DAVID MPresident
Sell2025-02-2848,0002,579,31553.7CLARK MATTHEW ELIOTChief Financial Officer
Sell2025-02-28179,3009,510,79853.0OVERTON DAVID MChief Executive Officer
Grant2025-02-2738,0001,788,28047.1CLARK MATTHEW ELIOTChief Financial Officer
Grant2025-02-27179,3008,437,85847.1OVERTON DAVID MChief Executive Officer
Grant2025-02-136,88800.0CARANGO KEITH TOfficer
Grant2025-02-132,75000.0HANSCOM ASHLEY WOfficer
Grant2025-02-139,10200.0MAY SCARLETT AGeneral Counsel
Grant2025-02-1318,06200.0CLARK MATTHEW ELIOTChief Financial Officer
Grant2025-02-1320,19400.0GORDON DAVID MPresident
Grant2025-02-1377,01000.0OVERTON DAVID MChief Executive Officer
Grant2024-11-08269,52010,823,92340.2OVERTON DAVID MChief Executive Officer
Sell2024-11-08269,52012,573,89046.7OVERTON DAVID MChief Executive Officer
Sell2024-11-0613,095653,23749.9CARANGO KEITH TOfficer
No congressional trading data available.

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