CAKE logo
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
CAKE
62.66 (0.26%) 0.16
3.10(B)
Consumer Discretionary
Hotels Restaurants and Leisure
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. The company operates bakeries that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants international licensees third-party bakery customers external foodservice operators retailers and distributors. It operates restaurants under the brands comprising The Cheesecake Factory North Italia Flower Child and Fox Restaurant Concepts. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas California.
My Holdings:
(?% ownership)
Shares:
Cost basis:
Market cap:$3.10(B)
EV:$5.42(B)
Total Equity:$339.40(M)
Div. yield:1.72%
Earnings date:Jul-30-2025
P/E:19.10
P/E (fwd):17.07
P/FCF:27.13
P/S:0.83
P/B:9.15
EPS:$3.3
EPS (fwd):$3.7
FCF/share:$2.3
Dividend/share:$1.1
Book value/share:$6.8
ROIC:7.2%
ROA:5.3%
ROE:46.6%

CAKE Valuation & Price Targets

  Current Price
62.66
PE Valuation
N/A
PEvaluation is not available for CAKE.
Analyst targets
N/A
No analyst estimates for CAKE.
DCF
N/A
Adjust your assumptions to reach a valid valuation.
DCF (exit mult.)
N/A
Adjust your assumptions to reach a valid valuation.
Future P/E
N/A
Adjust your assumptions to reach a valid valuation.
Peter Lynch FV
N/A
Adjust your assumptions to reach a valid valuation.
Graham No.
N/A
Adjust your assumptions to reach a valid valuation.
DDM
N/A
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PEvaluation

25% overvalued
Low
$35.1
Mid
$46.8
High
$58.5
Current price
$62.7
Fair P/E
Margin of safety
Market Model
Shares outstan...ROICRevenue growthDebt/FCFAssets/Liabili...
Economic moat: Medium

Analyst Price Targets

4% overvalued
Low
$40.0
Mid
$60.0
High
$66.0
Current price
$62.7
Strong Buy2
Buy7
Hold6
Sell2
Strong Sell2

Estimated EPS

LowAvgHigh#
FY+13.53.73.818
FY+23.94.14.318
FY+34.24.65.08

Discounted Cash Flow

Forecast years
Terminal Growth Rate
Discount Rate
Free cash flow estimates:
Y+1 est.
Y+2 est.
0.00%
Y+3 est.
0.00%
Y+4 est.
0.00%
Y+5 est.
0.00%

Discounted Cash Flow (exit mult.)

Forecast years
Exit FCF Multiple
Discount Rate
Free cash flow estimates:
Y+1 est.
Y+2 est.
0.00%
Y+3 est.
0.00%
Y+4 est.
0.00%
Y+5 est.
0.00%

Future P/E Valuation

Projection Years
Base Revenue
Revenue Growth Rate
Final Net Margin
Final P/E Ratio
Discount Rate

Peter Lynch Fair Value

Earnings Per Share
Growth Rate (*)

(*) Growth rate is capped between 0 and 25

Graham Formula

Earnings Per Share
Expected Growth Rate
Government Bond Rate

(*) Growth rate is capped to 25

Dividend Discount Model

Annual Dividend
First Stage Length (Years)
First Stage Growth Rate
Final Growth Rate
Discount Rate

(*) First stage rowth rate is capped to 20%

Based on 0 valuation methods, the average fair value estimate for CAKE is $N/A (NaN% overvalued).

Valuations range from $1.7976931348623157e+308 (N/A) to $0.0 (N/A).

TTM Financials

Income (TTM)

RevenueGrossNet
Revenue$3.62(B)
Gross profit$1.43(B)
EBITDA$307.61(M)
Net income$156.53(M)
Gross margin39.6%
Operating margin6.5%
Net margin4.3%
Shares outstanding:49.53(M)

Balance sheet

Cash & ST inv.Other ST assetsLong term assetsCurrent liabilitiesLong term debtOther LT liabilitiesEquity
Total assets$3.11(B)
Current assets$361.05(M)
Total liabilities$2.77(B)
Current liabilities$683.94(M)
Cash & Short-term inv.$135.41(M)
Long-term debt$627.31(M)
Total intangibles$252.17(M)
PP&E$2.29(B)

Cash flow (TTM)

CFOCFICFF
FCF$114.43(M)
CapEx$-166.07(M)
Dividends paid$-52.70(M)
Stock issued$23.28(M)
Stock repurchased$-147.09(M)
Stock-based comp.$29.89(M)
Debt issued$575.00(M)
Debt repaid$-419.80(M)

Per share data (TTM)

Price: $62.7
Revenue: $75.8 (0.8x | 121.0%) Gross profit: $29.0 (2.2x | 46.2%) Earnings: $3.28 (19.1x | 5.2%)
FCF: $2.31 (27.1x | 3.7%) Stock-based Comp.: $0.60 (103.8x | 1.0%) Dividend: $1.08 (58.0x | 1.7%)
Total Assets: $62.8 (1.0x | 100.2%) Total Liabilities: $56.0 (1.1x | 89.3%) Book Value: $6.85 (9.1x | 10.9%) Cash & ST inv.: $2.73 (22.9x | 4.4%) Debt: $12.7 (4.9x | 20.2%)

Growth Estimates

Revenue

CAGR: 6.2%
FY+1FY+2FY+3
FY+1$3.76(B)
FY+2(+6.1%)$3.99(B)
FY+3(+6.4%)$4.24(B)

Net Income

CAGR: 10.7%
FY+1FY+2FY+3
FY+1$178.27(M)
FY+2(+10.2%)$196.54(M)
FY+3(+11.1%)$218.43(M)

EPS

CAGR: 12.0%
FY+1FY+2FY+3
FY+1$3.67
FY+2(+11.4%)$4.09
FY+3(+12.5%)$4.60

FCF per share

CAGR: 9.0%
FY+1FY+2FY+3
FY+1$7.08
FY+2(+4.5%)$7.40
FY+3(+13.6%)$8.41

Historical Financials

Showing limited histrical data. Access 10+ years of financials now! Upgrade
YearlyQuarterly
Income
FY2005FY2006FY2007FY2008FY2009FY2010FY2011FY2012FY2013FY2014FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
FY2005FY2006FY2007FY2008FY2009FY2010FY2011FY2012FY2013FY2014FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024TTM5Y avg5Y CAGR
Revenue1.98(B)2.93(B)3.30(B)3.44(B)3.58(B)3.62(B)3.05(B)16%
COGS1.24(B)1.73(B)2.02(B)2.03(B)2.07(B)2.08(B)1.82(B)14%
Gross Profit746.31(M)1.20(B)1.28(B)1.41(B)1.51(B)1.54(B)1.23(B)19%
Total OpEx.865.13(M)1.07(B)1.18(B)1.23(B)1.29(B)1.30(B)1.13(B)10%
  R&D0.000.000.000.000.000.000.00N/A%
  SG&A157.64(M)186.14(M)205.75(M)217.45(M)228.74(M)228.30(M)199.14(M)10%
Operating Income-118.82(M)133.68(M)100.52(M)175.09(M)221.89(M)234.93(M)102.47(M)N/A%
Interest Expense-8.60(M)-10.70(M)-7.49(M)-10.16(M)-10.11(M)-10.67(M)-9.41(M)4%
Interest Income0.000.000.000.000.000.000.00N/A%
Pre-tax income-356.04(M)71.62(M)32.89(M)100.01(M)171.05(M)168.00(M)3.91(M)N/A%
Income tax102.67(M)75300010.23(M)1.34(M)-14.26(M)-11.46(M)20.15(M)N/A%
Net Income-253.37(M)72.37(M)43.12(M)101.35(M)156.78(M)156.53(M)24.05(M)N/A%
Cash flow
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
Stock-based Comp.FCFCFONet IncomeD&ACFFStock IssuedStock RepurchasedDebt IssuedDebt RepaidDividend PaidCFIAcquisitionsDivestituresCapital Expenditures
Balance sheet
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
Total AssetsTotal LiabilitiesCurrent assetsCash and EquivalentsShort-term investmentsInventoriesReceivablesNon-current assetsNet PP&EIntangible AssetsGoodwillCurrent liabilitiesAccounts payableNon-current liabilitiesLong-Term DebtTotal Equity
Per share data
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
EPS (Basic)FCF/ShareDividend/ShareEPS (Diluted)Book value/ShareCash & ST inv./ShareDebt/Share
Ratios
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
P/EP/SEV/EarningsP/FCFP/BEV/FCFDebt/EquityPayout ratio
Margins
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
Net Income MarginOperating MarginGross MarginEBITDA MarginFCF Margin
Returns
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
ROICROAROCEROE
Shares outstanding
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
Shares (Basic)Shares (Diluted)
Market Cap.
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
Market Cap.

Similar Companies

Ownership

Major holders

Insiders: 8.11%
Institutions: 112.37%
Other: -20.48%

Institutional ownership

14.65% Blackrock Inc.10.91% Vanguard Group Inc6.15% Wellington Management ...5.44% Kayne Anderson Rudnick...5.40% Earnest Partners LLC5.23% Invesco Ltd.3.74% State Street Corporati...3.63% BAMCO Inc.3.57% Victory Capital Manage...3.24% American Century Compa...50.41% Others

Insider transactions

Show:
Buys
Sells
Grants
DateSharesTotal ($)Price ($)NameTitle
Grant2025-06-0918,800755,00840.2MAY SCARLETT AGeneral Counsel
Sell2025-06-0918,8001,105,84658.8MAY SCARLETT AGeneral Counsel
Grant2025-05-2920,8001,013,63648.7MAY SCARLETT AGeneral Counsel
Sell2025-05-2920,8001,165,12156.0MAY SCARLETT AGeneral Counsel
Grant2025-05-2850,5002,174,09443.1CARANGO KEITH TOfficer
Sell2025-05-2850,5002,783,37855.1CARANGO KEITH TOfficer
Grant2025-05-2742,9001,974,68746.0CLARK MATTHEW ELIOTChief Financial Officer
Sell2025-05-2742,9002,402,40056.0CLARK MATTHEW ELIOTChief Financial Officer
Grant2025-05-222,67400.0CAPPELLO ALEXANDER LDirector
Grant2025-05-221,33700.0COLLINS KHANH PDirector
Grant2025-05-222,67400.0MEYER JANICE L.Director
Grant2025-05-0862,4262,649,68242.4GORDON DAVID MPresident
Sell2025-05-0876,8783,881,09250.5GORDON DAVID MPresident
Sell2025-02-28179,3009,510,79853.0OVERTON DAVID MChief Executive Officer
Sell2025-02-2848,0002,579,31553.7CLARK MATTHEW ELIOTChief Financial Officer
Grant2025-02-2738,0001,788,28047.1CLARK MATTHEW ELIOTChief Financial Officer
Grant2025-02-27179,3008,437,85847.1OVERTON DAVID MChief Executive Officer
Grant2025-02-139,10200.0MAY SCARLETT AGeneral Counsel
Grant2025-02-1318,06200.0CLARK MATTHEW ELIOTChief Financial Officer
Grant2025-02-1377,01000.0OVERTON DAVID MChief Executive Officer
Grant2025-02-1320,19400.0GORDON DAVID MPresident
Grant2025-02-136,88800.0CARANGO KEITH TOfficer
Grant2025-02-132,75000.0HANSCOM ASHLEY WOfficer
Grant2024-11-08269,52010,823,92340.2OVERTON DAVID MChief Executive Officer
Sell2024-11-08269,52012,573,89046.7OVERTON DAVID MChief Executive Officer
Sell2024-11-0613,095653,23749.9CARANGO KEITH TOfficer

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