Union Pacific Corporation

UNP

235.80 (0.00%) 0.00

142.96(B)

Industrials

Ground Transportation

Union Pacific Corporation through its subsidiary Union Pacific Railroad Company operates in the railroad business in the United States. The company offers transportation services for grain and grain products fertilizers food and refrigerated products and coal and renewables to grain processors animal feeders ethanol producers renewable biofuel producers and other agricultural users; and construction products industrial chemicals plastics forest products specialized products metals and ores petroleum liquid petroleum gases soda ash and sand as well as finished automobiles automotive parts and merchandise in intermodal containers. Union Pacific Corporation was founded in 1862 and is headquartered in Omaha Nebraska.

Holdings:

Cost basis:

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) price target and intrinsic value estimate

UNP's fair price estimate is $118.8

This valuation is based on a fair P/E of 11.2 and EPS estimates of $10.60

The median analyst price target for UNP is $261.0.

Analyst price targets range from $218.0 to $285.0

Is UNP overvalued or undervalued?

UNP is currently trading at $235.8

UNP is overvalued by 99% using the pevaluation method.

UNP is undervalued by 10% compared to median analyst price targets.

Do you agree with this valuation?

Valuation

PEvaluation

Low $89.1

Median $118.8

High $148.4

Fair P/E

Margin of safety

Analyst valuation

Low $218.0

Median $261.0

High $285.0

Strong Buy4

Buy12

Hold14

Sell0

Strong Sell0

Discounted cash-flow

TTM FCFFCF est.Growth FCFTerminal FCF

Discount rate:

10%

Terminal rate:

Growth phase length:

Growth phase rate:

10%

Economic moat: Medium

Overview

Market data

Market cap:$142.96(B)

Enterprise value:$174.68(B)

Total Equity:$16.58(B)

Shares outstanding:606.26(M)

Div. yield:2.22%

P/S:5.91

P/E:21.63

P/FCF:25.91

P/B:8.63

EPS:$10.9

FCF per share:$9.1

Dividend per share:$5.2

Income (TTM)

Revenue$24.29(B)

Gross profit$13.44(B)

EBITDA$12.03(B)

Net income$6.64(B)

Gross margin55.3%

Net margin27.3%

Balance sheet

Total assets$67.57(B)

Total liabilities$50.99(B)

Cash & Short-term inv.$967.00(M)

Long-term debt$29.65(B)

Debt issued$800.00(M)

Debt repaid$-2.23(B)

Cash flow (TTM)

FCF$5.53(B)

CapEx$-3.55(B)

Dividends paid$-3.20(B)

Stock issued$0

Stock repurchased$-831.00(M)

Stock-based comp.$110.00(M)

Future Growth

Revenue

CAGR: 4.6%

FY+1$24.29(B)

FY+2$25.25(B)

FY+3$26.45(B)

FY+4$27.81(B)

FY+5$29.09(B)

Net Income

CAGR: 7.7%

FY+1$6.68(B)

FY+2$7.26(B)

FY+3$7.86(B)

FY+4$8.51(B)

FY+5$9.00(B)

EPS

CAGR: 10.4%

FY+1$10.97

FY+2$12.14

FY+3$13.49

FY+4$15.03

FY+5$16.30

FCF per share

CAGR: 10.8%

FY+1$14.82

FY+2$16.54

FY+3$18.18

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Historical Financials

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YearlyQuarterly

Income

RevenueNet IncomeCOGSGross ProfitTotal OpEx.R&DSG&AOperating IncomeInterest ExpenseInterest IncomePre-tax incomeIncome tax

Cash flow

FCFCFONet IncomeD&AStock-based Comp.CFFStock IssuedStock RepurchasedDebt IssuedDebt RepaidDividend PaidCFIAcquisitionsDivestituresCapital Expenditures

Balance sheet

Total AssetsTotal LiabilitiesCurrent assetsCash and EquivalentsShort-term investmentsInventoriesReceivablesNon-current assetsNet PP&EGoodwillCurrent liabilitiesAccounts payableNon-current liabilitiesLong-Term DebtTotal Equity

Shares outstanding

Shares (Basic)Shares (Diluted)

Per share data

EPS (Basic)EPS (Diluted)FCF/ShareDividend/ShareBook value/Share

Ratios

P/EP/FCFP/BP/SEV/EarningsEV/FCFDebt/EquityPayout ratio

Margins

Net Income MarginOperating MarginGross MarginEBITDA MarginFCF Margin

Returns

ROICROAROCEROE

Market Cap.