Eli Lilly and Company

LLY

757.39 (2.06%) 15.58

679.94(B)

Health Care

Pharmaceuticals

Eli Lilly and Company discovers develops and markets human pharmaceuticals in the United States Europe China Japan and internationally. The company offers Basaglar Humalog Humalog Mix 75/25 Humalog U-100 Humalog U-200 Humalog Mix 50/50 insulin lispro insulin lispro protamine insulin lispro mix 75/25 Humulin Humulin 70/30 Humulin N Humulin R and Humulin U-500 for diabetes; Jardiance Mounjaro and Trulicity for type 2 diabetes; and Zepbound for obesity. It also provides oncology products including Alimta Cyramza Erbitux Jaypirca Retevmo Tyvyt and Verzenio. In addition the company offers Olumiant for rheumatoid arthritis atopic dermatitis severe alopecia areata and COVID-19; Taltz for plaque psoriasis psoriatic arthritis ankylosing spondylitis and non-radiographic axial spondylarthritis; Omvoh for ulcerative colitis; Cymbalta for depressive disorder diabetic peripheral neuropathic pain generalized anxiety disorder fibromyalgia and chronic musculoskeletal pain; Ebglyss for severe atopic dermatitis; and Emgality for migraine prevention and episodic cluster headache. It has collaborations with Incyte Corporation; Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals Inc.; F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd and Genentech Inc.; Biologics Inc. AbCellera Biologics Inc.; Verge Genomics; collaboration with AdvanCell to advance novel targeted alpha therapies for the treatment of cancer; and Chugai Pharmaceutical Co. Ltd. Eli Lilly and Company was founded in 1876 and is headquartered in Indianapolis Indiana.

My Holdings:

(?% ownership)

Cost basis:

Market cap:$679.94(B)

EV:$714.94(B)

Total Equity:$15.85(B)

Div. yield:0.71%

P/S:13.91

P/E:61.38

P/FCF:192.23

P/B:45.52

EPS:$12.3

FCF/share:$3.9

Dividend/share:$5.4

Book value/share:$16.6

ROIC:23.7%

ROA:14.5%

ROE:77.7%

Jump to:Valuation TTM Financials Growth Estimates Historical Data Similar Companies Ownership Tools

LLY Valuation

Current Price

757.39

PE Valuation

N/A

Analyst targets

N/A

DCF

N/A

DCF (exit mult.)

N/A

Future P/E

N/A

Peter Lynch FV

N/A

Graham No.

N/A

DDM

N/A

Using the PEvaluation method, the intrinsic value estimate of LLY is $731.7.
At the current price of 757.4, LLY is 3% overvalued.

Based on 0 valuation methods, the average fair value estimate for LLY is $N/A (NaN% overvalued).

Valuations range from $1.7976931348623157e+308 (N/A) to $0.0 (N/A).

PEvaluation

3% overvalued

Low

$512

Mid

$732

High

$915

Current price

$757

Fair P/E

Margin of safety

Economic moat: Very wide

Analyst Price Targets

32% undervalued

Low

$650

Mid

$998

High

$1190

Current price

$757

Strong Buy7

Buy15

Hold4

Sell1

Strong Sell1

Estimated EPS

	Low	Avg	High	#
FY+1	21.0	21.8	24.1	25
FY+2	25.2	29.7	35.9	25
FY+3	28.4	36.6	43.5	19
FY+4	31.6	42.5	51.7	11
FY+5	33.1	48.4	59.4	11

Discounted Cash Flow

Forecast years
Terminal Growth Rate
Discount Rate

Free cash flow estimates:

Y+1 est.

Y+2 est.

0.00%

Y+3 est.

0.00%

Y+4 est.

0.00%

Y+5 est.

0.00%

Discounted Cash Flow (exit mult.)

Forecast years
Exit FCF Multiple
Discount Rate

Free cash flow estimates:

Y+1 est.

Y+2 est.

0.00%

Y+3 est.

0.00%

Y+4 est.

0.00%

Y+5 est.

0.00%

Future P/E Valuation

Projection Years
Base Revenue
Revenue Growth Rate
Final Net Margin
Final P/E Ratio
Discount Rate

Peter Lynch Fair Value

Earnings Per Share
Growth Rate (*)

(*) Growth rate is capped between 5 and 25

Graham Formula

Earnings Per Share
Expected Growth Rate
Government Bond Rate

Dividend Discount Model

Annual Dividend
First Stage Length (Years)
First Stage Growth Rate
Final Growth Rate
Discount Rate

(*) First stage rowth rate is capped to 20%

TTM Financials

Income (TTM)

Revenue$49.00(B)

Gross profit$40.03(B)

EBITDA$22.00(B)

Net income$11.11(B)

Gross margin81.7%

Operating margin41.2%

Net margin22.7%

Shares outstanding:897.74(M)

Balance sheet

Total assets$89.39(B)

Current assets$41.26(B)

Total liabilities$73.54(B)

Current liabilities$30.07(B)

Cash & Short-term inv.$3.22(B)

Long-term debt$34.58(B)

Total intangibles$11.78(B)

PP&E$18.47(B)

Cash flow (TTM)

FCF$3.74(B)

CapEx$-5.58(B)

Dividends paid$-4.86(B)

Stock issued$0

Stock repurchased$-3.70(B)

Stock-based comp.$639.90(M)

Debt issued$11.43(B)

Debt repaid$840.10(M)

Per share data

Growth Estimates

Revenue

CAGR: 14.0%

FY+1$59.65(B)

FY+2(+19.9%)$71.54(B)

FY+3(+16.7%)$83.47(B)

FY+4(+9.9%)$91.73(B)

FY+5(+10.0%)$100.89(B)

Net Income

CAGR: 21.6%

FY+1$19.65(B)

FY+2(+35.4%)$26.61(B)

FY+3(+22.7%)$32.65(B)

FY+4(+16.0%)$37.87(B)

FY+5(+13.6%)$43.03(B)

EPS

CAGR: 22.0%

FY+1$21.84

FY+2(+35.9%)$29.68

FY+3(+23.2%)$36.56

FY+4(+16.1%)$42.45

FY+5(+13.9%)$48.35

FCF per share

CAGR: 31.8%

FY+1$18.22

FY+2(+85.0%)$33.70

FY+3(+7.8%)$36.32

FY+4(+34.2%)$48.74

FY+5(+12.7%)$54.93

Historical Financials

Showing limited histrical data. Access 10+ years of financials now! Upgrade

YearlyQuarterly

Income

	FY2005	FY2006	FY2007	FY2008	FY2009	FY2010	FY2011	FY2012	FY2013	FY2014	FY2015	FY2016	FY2017	FY2018	FY2019	FY2020	FY2021	FY2022	FY2023	FY2024	TTM	5Y avg	5Y CAGR
Revenue																24.54(B)	28.32(B)	28.54(B)	34.12(B)	45.04(B)	49.00(B)	32.11(B)	16%
COGS																5.48(B)	7.31(B)	6.63(B)	7.08(B)	8.42(B)	8.97(B)	6.99(B)	11%
Gross Profit																19.06(B)	21.01(B)	21.91(B)	27.04(B)	36.62(B)	40.03(B)	25.13(B)	18%
Total OpEx.																11.85(B)	13.07(B)	13.26(B)	16.25(B)	19.12(B)	19.86(B)	14.71(B)	13%
R&D																5.98(B)	6.93(B)	7.19(B)	9.31(B)	10.99(B)	11.20(B)	8.08(B)	16%
SG&A																5.87(B)	6.14(B)	6.07(B)	6.94(B)	8.13(B)	8.66(B)	6.63(B)	8%
Operating Income																7.21(B)	7.93(B)	8.65(B)	10.79(B)	17.50(B)	20.17(B)	10.42(B)	25%
Interest Expense																-359.60(M)	-339.80(M)	-331.60(M)	-485.90(M)	-780.60(M)	-844.70(M)	-459.50(M)	21%
Interest Income																33.00(M)	25.40(M)	62.80(M)	173.60(M)	175.20(M)	177.70(M)	94.00(M)	52%
Pre-tax income																7.23(B)	6.16(B)	6.81(B)	6.55(B)	12.68(B)	13.60(B)	7.89(B)	15%
Income tax																-1.04(B)	-573.80(M)	-561.60(M)	-1.31(B)	-2.09(B)	-2.49(B)	-1.12(B)	19%
Net Income																6.19(B)	5.58(B)	6.24(B)	5.24(B)	10.59(B)	11.11(B)	6.77(B)	14%

Cash flow

Stock-based Comp.FCFCFONet IncomeD&ACFFStock IssuedStock RepurchasedDebt IssuedDebt RepaidDividend PaidCFIAcquisitionsDivestituresCapital Expenditures

Balance sheet

Total AssetsTotal LiabilitiesCurrent assetsCash and EquivalentsShort-term investmentsInventoriesReceivablesNon-current assetsNet PP&EIntangible AssetsGoodwillCurrent liabilitiesAccounts payableNon-current liabilitiesLong-Term DebtTotal Equity

Per share data

EPS (Basic)FCF/ShareDividend/ShareEPS (Diluted)Book value/ShareCash & ST inv./ShareDebt/Share

Ratios

P/EP/SEV/EarningsP/FCFP/BEV/FCFDebt/EquityPayout ratio

Margins

Net Income MarginOperating MarginGross MarginEBITDA MarginFCF Margin

Returns

ROICROAROCEROE

Shares outstanding

Shares (Basic)Shares (Diluted)

Market Cap.

Similar Companies

Ownership

Major holders

Insiders: 0.16%
Institutions: 83.48%
Other: 16.35%

Institutional ownership

Insider transactions

Show:

Buys

Sells

Grants

	Date	Shares	Total ($)	Price ($)	Name	Title
Grant	2025-04-21	18	14,833	824.1	LUCIANO JUAN R	Director
Grant	2025-04-21	6	4,958	826.3	SULZBERGER GABRIELLE	Director
Grant	2025-04-21	12	9,917	826.4	HEDLEY MARY LYNNE	Director
Grant	2025-04-21	12	9,917	826.4	FYRWALD J. ERIK	Director
Grant	2025-04-21	14	11,750	839.3	ALVAREZ RALPH	Director
Grant	2025-03-17	17	14,833	872.5	LUCIANO JUAN R	Director
Grant	2025-03-17	6	4,958	826.3	SULZBERGER GABRIELLE	Director
Grant	2025-03-17	12	9,917	826.4	HEDLEY MARY LYNNE	Director
Grant	2025-03-17	12	9,917	826.4	FYRWALD J. ERIK	Director
Grant	2025-03-17	14	11,750	839.3	ALVAREZ RALPH	Director
Sell	2025-03-13	1,000	818,240	818.2	ZAKROWSKI DONALD A	Officer
Sell	2025-03-03	220,000	204,326,151	928.8	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2025-02-25	225,000	203,190,794	903.1	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2025-02-24	60,432	53,425,407	884.1	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2025-02-21	99,452	87,786,505	882.7	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2025-02-20	14,685	12,893,353	878.0	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Grant	2025-02-20	460	0	0.0	DOZIER ERIC	Officer
Sell	2025-02-19	9,985	8,771,285	878.4	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Grant	2025-02-18	17	14,833	872.5	LUCIANO JUAN R	Director
Grant	2025-02-18	5	4,958	991.6	SULZBERGER GABRIELLE	Director
Grant	2025-02-18	11	9,917	901.5	HEDLEY MARY LYNNE	Director
Grant	2025-02-18	11	9,917	901.5	FYRWALD J. ERIK	Director
Grant	2025-02-18	13	11,750	903.8	ALVAREZ RALPH	Director
Sell	2025-02-13	35,446	31,175,396	879.5	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Grant	2025-02-10	55,131	47,902,710	868.9	RICKS DAVID A	Chief Executive Officer
Grant	2025-02-10	1,359	1,181,381	869.3	ZAKROWSKI DONALD A	Officer
Grant	2025-02-10	7,123	6,189,335	868.9	YUFFA ILYA	Officer
Grant	2025-02-10	5,974	5,190,812	868.9	HERNANDEZ EDGARDO	Officer
Grant	2025-02-10	6,815	5,921,593	868.9	RAU DIOGO	Chief Technology Officer
Grant	2025-02-10	919	798,957	869.4	DOZIER ERIC	Officer
Grant	2025-02-10	7,170	6,230,302	868.9	JONSSON PATRIK	Officer
Grant	2025-02-10	18,771	16,310,400	868.9	SKOVRONSKY DANIEL M.	Officer
Grant	2025-02-10	6,828	5,933,469	869.0	WHITE ANNE E	President
Grant	2025-02-10	2,895	2,516,217	869.2	MONTARCE LUCAS E	Chief Financial Officer
Grant	2025-02-10	6,103	5,303,491	869.0	VAN NAARDEN JACOB S.	Officer
Grant	2025-02-10	10,320	8,967,672	869.0	HAKIM ANAT	General Counsel
Sell	2025-02-10	5,000	4,316,065	863.2	SKOVRONSKY DANIEL M.	Officer
Sell	2025-02-06	210,000	183,567,262	874.1	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Grant	2025-01-21	19	14,834	780.7	LUCIANO JUAN R	Director
Grant	2025-01-21	6	4,958	826.3	SULZBERGER GABRIELLE	Director
Grant	2025-01-21	13	9,916	762.8	HEDLEY MARY LYNNE	Director
Grant	2025-01-21	13	9,916	762.8	FYRWALD J. ERIK	Director
Grant	2025-01-21	15	11,750	783.3	ALVAREZ RALPH	Director
Grant	2024-12-16	19	14,834	780.7	LUCIANO JUAN R	Director
Grant	2024-12-16	12	9,917	826.4	SULZBERGER GABRIELLE	Director
Grant	2024-12-16	12	9,667	805.6	JOHNSON KIMBERLY H	Director
Grant	2024-12-16	12	9,917	826.4	HEDLEY MARY LYNNE	Director
Grant	2024-12-16	15	11,750	783.3	ALVAREZ RALPH	Director
Grant	2024-11-18	302	220,000	728.5	BAICKER KATHERINE	Director
Grant	2024-11-18	322	234,833	729.3	LUCIANO JUAN R	Director
Grant	2024-11-18	302	220,000	728.5	JACKSON JAMERE	Director
Grant	2024-11-18	302	220,000	728.5	WALKER KAREN SAMMIS	Director
Grant	2024-11-18	302	220,000	728.5	KAELIN WILLIAM G JR	Director
Grant	2024-11-18	316	229,917	727.6	SULZBERGER GABRIELLE	Director
Grant	2024-11-18	315	229,666	729.1	JOHNSON KIMBERLY H	Director
Grant	2024-11-18	316	229,917	727.6	HEDLEY MARY LYNNE	Director
Grant	2024-11-18	320	233,089	728.4	FYRWALD J. ERIK	Director
Grant	2024-11-18	318	231,750	728.8	ALVAREZ RALPH	Director
Sell	2024-11-08	900	723,042	803.4	ZAKROWSKI DONALD A	Officer
Grant	2024-10-31	4,302	0	0.0	VAN NAARDEN JACOB S.	Officer
Grant	2024-10-21	16	14,498	906.1	LUCIANO JUAN R	Director
Grant	2024-10-21	11	9,967	906.1	SULZBERGER GABRIELLE	Director
Grant	2024-10-21	11	9,967	906.1	JOHNSON KIMBERLY H	Director
Grant	2024-10-21	11	9,967	906.1	HEDLEY MARY LYNNE	Director
Grant	2024-10-21	13	11,780	906.2	ALVAREZ RALPH	Director
Grant	2024-09-16	16	14,777	923.6	LUCIANO JUAN R	Director
Grant	2024-09-16	11	10,159	923.5	SULZBERGER GABRIELLE	Director
Grant	2024-09-16	10	9,235	923.5	JOHNSON KIMBERLY H	Director
Grant	2024-09-16	11	10,159	923.5	HEDLEY MARY LYNNE	Director
Grant	2024-09-16	13	12,006	923.5	ALVAREZ RALPH	Director
Grant	2024-09-11	5,835	0	0.0	SKOVRONSKY DANIEL M.	Officer
Sell	2024-09-03	24,084	23,281,840	966.7	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-08-27	24,552	23,777,668	968.5	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-08-26	750	712,500	950.0	ZAKROWSKI DONALD A	Officer
Sell	2024-08-22	3,196	3,088,382	966.3	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Grant	2024-08-20	13,727	0	0.0	RICKS DAVID A	Chief Executive Officer
Grant	2024-08-19	16	14,749	921.8	LUCIANO JUAN R	Director
Grant	2024-08-19	11	10,140	921.8	SULZBERGER GABRIELLE	Director
Grant	2024-08-19	10	9,218	921.8	JOHNSON KIMBERLY H	Director
Grant	2024-08-19	11	10,140	921.8	HEDLEY MARY LYNNE	Director
Grant	2024-08-19	13	11,984	921.8	ALVAREZ RALPH	Director
Grant	2024-08-12	14,700	0	0.0	HAKIM ANAT	General Counsel
Grant	2024-07-15	16	15,207	950.4	LUCIANO JUAN R	Director
Grant	2024-07-15	10	9,505	950.5	SULZBERGER GABRIELLE	Director
Grant	2024-07-15	10	9,505	950.5	JOHNSON KIMBERLY H	Director
Grant	2024-07-15	10	9,505	950.5	HEDLEY MARY LYNNE	Director
Grant	2024-07-15	12	11,406	950.5	ALVAREZ RALPH	Director
Sell	2024-07-10	210,000	197,361,398	939.8	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-07-08	93,593	85,977,954	918.6	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-07-05	52,369	47,927,194	915.2	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-07-03	8,848	8,098,655	915.3	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-07-01	58,749	53,770,776	915.3	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-06-28	1,441	1,318,545	915.0	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-06-25	188,100	170,009,262	903.8	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-06-24	17,229	15,547,068	902.4	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-06-20	9,671	8,729,733	902.7	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Grant	2024-06-17	17	15,045	885.0	LUCIANO JUAN R	Director
Grant	2024-06-17	11	9,735	885.0	SULZBERGER GABRIELLE	Director
Grant	2024-06-17	11	9,735	885.0	JOHNSON KIMBERLY H	Director
Grant	2024-06-17	11	9,735	885.0	HEDLEY MARY LYNNE	Director
Grant	2024-06-17	13	11,505	885.0	ALVAREZ RALPH	Director
Sell	2024-06-17	194,978	172,733,708	885.9	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-06-14	15,022	13,256,490	882.5	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-06-10	75,510	64,997,274	860.8	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-06-07	139,490	118,886,587	852.3	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-06-06	179,617	150,485,878	837.8	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-06-05	20,383	17,046,673	836.3	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-06-03	750	614,602	819.5	ZAKROWSKI DONALD A	Officer
Sell	2024-06-03	7,056	5,781,545	819.4	NORTON JOHNA L	Officer
Sell	2024-06-03	192,794	159,974,050	829.8	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-05-31	22,206	18,255,871	822.1	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-05-29	130,385	105,747,975	811.0	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-05-28	2,052	1,660,068	809.0	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-05-24	92,563	74,902,998	809.2	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-05-23	50,767	41,120,963	810.0	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-05-22	12,974	10,433,483	804.2	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell	2024-05-21	186,259	150,021,694	805.4	LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.	Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Grant	2024-05-20	19	14,880	783.2	LUCIANO JUAN R	Director
Grant	2024-05-20	13	10,181	783.2	SULZBERGER GABRIELLE	Director
Grant	2024-05-20	12	9,398	783.2	JOHNSON KIMBERLY H	Director
Grant	2024-05-20	13	10,181	783.2	HEDLEY MARY LYNNE	Director
Grant	2024-05-20	15	11,748	783.2	ALVAREZ RALPH	Director

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