
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.
CMG 57.08 (0.00%) 0.00
77.36(B)
Consumer Discretionary
Hotels Restaurants and Leisure
Holdings:
Shares:
Cost basis:
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (CMG) price target and intrinsic value estimate
CMG's fair price estimate is $22.0
This valuation is based on a fair P/E of 13.1 and EPS estimates of $1.68
The median analyst price target for CMG is $66.0.
Analyst price targets range from $42.0 to $75.0
Is CMG overvalued or undervalued?
CMG is currently trading at $57.08
CMG is overvalued by 160% using the pevaluation method.
CMG is undervalued by 14% compared to median analyst price targets.
Do you agree with this valuation?
Valuation
PEvaluation
Current price
$57.08
Overvalued
Low
$16.5
Median
$22.0
High
$27.5
Fair P/E
Margin of safety
Analyst valuation
Current price
$57.08
Fairly valued
Low
$42.0
Median
$66.0
High
$75.0
Discounted cash-flow
N/A
Negative FCF or FCF estimates
Negative FCF or FCF estimates
Discount
rate10%
rate10%
Terminal
rate5%
rate5%
Growth p.
length5y
length5y
Growth p.
rate10%
rate10%
Economic moat: None/narrow
Overview
Market data
Market cap:$77.36(B)
Enterprise value:$80.48(B)
Total Equity:$3.66(B)
Shares outstanding:1.36(B)
Div. yield:0.00%
P/S:6.90
P/E:50.96
P/FCF:51.42
P/B:21.22
EPS:$1.1
FCF per share:$1.1
Dividend per share:$0.0
Income (TTM)
Revenue$11.31(B)
Gross profit$4.59(B)
EBITDA$2.29(B)
Net income$1.53(B)
Gross margin40.5%
Net margin13.6%
Balance sheet
Total assets$9.20(B)
Total liabilities$5.55(B)
Cash & Short-term inv.$1.42(B)
Long-term debt$0
Debt issued$0
Debt repaid$0
Cash flow (TTM)
FCF$1.51(B)
CapEx$-593.60(M)
Dividends paid$0
Stock issued$0
Stock repurchased$-1.08(B)
Stock-based comp.$131.73(M)
Future Growth
Revenue
CAGR: 12.9%FY+1$12.67(B)
FY+2$14.36(B)
FY+3$16.32(B)
FY+4$18.44(B)
FY+5$20.58(B)
Net Income
CAGR: 17.1%FY+1$1.74(B)
FY+2$2.07(B)
FY+3$2.45(B)
FY+4$2.88(B)
FY+5$3.27(B)
EPS
CAGR: 18.9%FY+1$1.29
FY+2$1.54
FY+3$1.86
FY+4$2.22
FY+5$2.58
FCF per share
CAGR: 19.6%FY+1$1.70
FY+2$2.04
FY+3$2.43
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Historical Financials
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Income
RevenueNet IncomeCOGSGross ProfitTotal OpEx.R&DSG&AOperating IncomeInterest ExpenseInterest IncomePre-tax incomeIncome tax
Cash flow
FCFCFONet IncomeD&AStock-based Comp.CFFStock IssuedStock RepurchasedDebt IssuedDebt RepaidDividend PaidCFIAcquisitionsDivestituresCapital Expenditures
Balance sheet
Total AssetsTotal LiabilitiesCurrent assetsCash and EquivalentsShort-term investmentsInventoriesReceivablesNon-current assetsNet PP&EGoodwillCurrent liabilitiesAccounts payableNon-current liabilitiesLong-Term DebtTotal Equity
Shares outstanding
Shares (Basic)Shares (Diluted)
Per share data
EPS (Basic)EPS (Diluted)FCF/ShareDividend/ShareBook value/Share
Ratios
P/EP/FCFP/BP/SEV/EarningsEV/FCFDebt/EquityPayout ratio
Margins
Net Income MarginOperating MarginGross MarginEBITDA MarginFCF Margin
Returns
ROICROAROCEROE
Market Cap.
Market Cap.