Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.
CMG 50.08 (0.76%) 0.38
67.48(B)
Consumer Discretionary
Hotels Restaurants and Leisure
My Holdings:
(?% ownership)
Shares:
Cost basis:
Market cap:$67.48(B)
EV:$70.69(B)
Total Equity:$3.49(B)
Div. yield:0.00%
P/S:5.95
P/E:43.93
P/FCF:45.53
P/B:19.34
EPS:$1.1
FCF/share:$1.1
Dividend/share:$0.0
Book value/share:$2.6
ROIC:20.7%
ROA:17.9%
ROE:45.6%
Jump to:ValuationTTM FinancialsGrowth EstimatesHistorical DataSimilar CompaniesOwnershipToolsSummary
CMG Valuation & Target Price
Current Price
PE Valuation
PEvaluation is not available for CMG.
Analyst targets
No analyst estimates for CMG.
DCF
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DCF (exit mult.)
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Future P/E
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Peter Lynch FV
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Graham No.
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DDM
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PEvaluation
59% overvalued
Low
$15.4
Mid
$20.6
High
$25.7
Current price
$50.1
Fair P/E
Margin of safety
Economic moat: None/narrow
Analyst Price Targets
16% undervalued
Low
$45.9
Mid
$58.0
High
$65.0
Current price
$50.1
Estimated EPS
| Low | Avg | High | # | |
| FY+1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 31 |
| FY+2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 32 |
| FY+3 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 12 |
| FY+4 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 3 |
| FY+5 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 2 |
Discounted Cash Flow
| Forecast years | |
| Terminal Growth Rate | |
| Discount Rate |
Free cash flow estimates:
Discounted Cash Flow (exit mult.)
| Forecast years | |
| Exit FCF Multiple | |
| Discount Rate |
Free cash flow estimates:
Future P/E Valuation
| Projection Years | |
| Base Revenue | |
| Revenue Growth Rate | |
| Final Net Margin | |
| Final P/E Ratio | |
| Discount Rate |
Peter Lynch Fair Value
| Earnings Per Share | |
| Growth Rate (*) |
(*) Growth rate is capped between 0 and 25
Graham Formula
| Earnings Per Share | |
| Expected Growth Rate | |
| Government Bond Rate |
(*) Growth rate is capped to 25
Dividend Discount Model
| Annual Dividend | |
| First Stage Length (Years) | |
| First Stage Growth Rate | |
| Final Growth Rate | |
| Discount Rate |
(*) First stage rowth rate is capped to 20%
Based on 0 valuation methods, the average fair value estimate for CMG is $N/A (NaN% overvalued).
Valuations range from $1.7976931348623157e+308 (N/A) to $0.0 (N/A).
TTM Financials
Income (TTM)
Revenue$11.49(B)
Gross profit$4.63(B)
EBITDA$2.34(B)
Net income$1.56(B)
Gross margin40.3%
Operating margin17.6%
Net margin13.6%
Shares outstanding:1.35(B)
Balance sheet
Total assets$9.04(B)
Current assets$1.66(B)
Total liabilities$5.55(B)
Current liabilities$1.09(B)
Cash & Short-term inv.$1.41(B)
Long-term debt$0
Total intangibles$21.94(M)
PP&E$6.51(B)
Cash flow (TTM)
FCF$1.49(B)
CapEx$-605.71(M)
Dividends paid$0
Stock issued$0
Stock repurchased$-1.56(B)
Stock-based comp.$133.33(M)
Debt issued$0
Debt repaid$0
Per share data (TTM)
Growth Estimates
Revenue
CAGR: 13.8%FY+1$12.26(B)
FY+2(+13.1%)$13.86(B)
FY+3(+12.7%)$15.62(B)
FY+4(+16.5%)$18.20(B)
FY+5(+12.9%)$20.55(B)
Net Income
CAGR: 17.6%FY+1$1.63(B)
FY+2(+17.5%)$1.92(B)
FY+3(+16.4%)$2.23(B)
FY+4(+21.7%)$2.71(B)
FY+5(+15.0%)$3.12(B)
EPS
CAGR: 20.1%FY+1$1.21
FY+2(+19.0%)$1.44
FY+3(+18.1%)$1.70
FY+4(+25.3%)$2.13
FY+5(+18.3%)$2.52
FCF per share
CAGR: 17.9%FY+1$1.62
FY+2(+17.9%)$1.91
FY+3(+17.8%)$2.25
Historical Financials
Showing limited histrical data. Access 10+ years of financials now! Upgrade
Income
| FY2005 | FY2006 | FY2007 | FY2008 | FY2009 | FY2010 | FY2011 | FY2012 | FY2013 | FY2014 | FY2015 | FY2016 | FY2017 | FY2018 | FY2019 | FY2020 | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | TTM | 5Y avg | 5Y CAGR | |
| Revenue | 5.98(B) | 7.55(B) | 8.63(B) | 9.87(B) | 11.31(B) | 11.49(B) | 8.67(B) | 17% | |||||||||||||||
| COGS | 4.94(B) | 5.84(B) | 6.57(B) | 7.29(B) | 8.30(B) | 8.46(B) | 6.59(B) | 14% | |||||||||||||||
| Gross Profit | 1.04(B) | 1.71(B) | 2.06(B) | 2.59(B) | 3.02(B) | 3.03(B) | 2.08(B) | 30% | |||||||||||||||
| Total OpEx. | 704.83(M) | 861.51(M) | 851.02(M) | 952.98(M) | 1.03(B) | 1.00(B) | 880.57(M) | 10% | |||||||||||||||
| R&D | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A% | |||||||||||||||
| SG&A | 466.29(M) | 606.85(M) | 564.19(M) | 633.58(M) | 697.48(M) | 665.64(M) | 593.68(M) | 11% | |||||||||||||||
| Operating Income | 336.26(M) | 845.50(M) | 1.21(B) | 1.63(B) | 1.99(B) | 2.02(B) | 1.20(B) | 56% | |||||||||||||||
| Interest Expense | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A% | |||||||||||||||
| Interest Income | 3.62(M) | 7.82(M) | 21.13(M) | 62.69(M) | 93.90(M) | 96.79(M) | 37.83(M) | 126% | |||||||||||||||
| Pre-tax income | 293.78(M) | 812.76(M) | 1.18(B) | 1.62(B) | 2.01(B) | 2.05(B) | 1.18(B) | 62% | |||||||||||||||
| Income tax | 61.98(M) | -159.78(M) | -282.43(M) | -391.77(M) | -476.12(M) | -489.65(M) | -249.62(M) | N/A% | |||||||||||||||
| Net Income | 355.77(M) | 652.98(M) | 899.10(M) | 1.23(B) | 1.53(B) | 1.56(B) | 934.14(M) | 44% |
Cash flow
Stock-based Comp.FCFCFONet IncomeD&ACFFStock IssuedStock RepurchasedDebt IssuedDebt RepaidDividend PaidCFIAcquisitionsDivestituresCapital Expenditures
Balance sheet
Total AssetsTotal LiabilitiesCurrent assetsCash and EquivalentsShort-term investmentsInventoriesReceivablesNon-current assetsNet PP&EIntangible AssetsGoodwillCurrent liabilitiesAccounts payableNon-current liabilitiesLong-Term DebtTotal Equity
Per share data
EPS (Basic)FCF/ShareDividend/ShareEPS (Diluted)Book value/ShareCash & ST inv./ShareDebt/Share
Ratios
P/EP/SEV/EarningsP/FCFP/BEV/FCFDebt/EquityPayout ratio
Margins
Net Income MarginOperating MarginGross MarginEBITDA MarginFCF Margin
Returns
ROICROAROCEROE
Shares outstanding
Shares (Basic)Shares (Diluted)
Market Cap.
Market Cap.
Similar Companies
Ownership
Major holders
Insiders: 0.69%
Institutions: 90.04%
Other: 9.28%
Institutions: 90.04%
Other: 9.28%
Institutional ownership
Insider transactions
Show:
Buys
Sells
Grants
| Date | Shares | Total ($) | Price ($) | Name | Title | |
| Sell | 2025-05-14 | 3,087 | 161,829 | 52.4 | MCCONNELL JAMIE | Officer |
| Grant | 2025-03-13 | 24,225 | 172,191 | 7.1 | GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III | Officer |
| Sell | 2025-03-13 | 20,761 | 1,033,261 | 49.8 | GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III | Officer |
| Buy | 2025-03-05 | 9,400 | 498,200 | 53.0 | GUTIERREZ MAURICIO | Director |
| Grant | 2025-02-25 | 24,225 | 172,201 | 7.1 | GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III | Chief Technology Officer |
| Sell | 2025-02-25 | 20,937 | 1,096,297 | 52.4 | GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III | Chief Technology Officer |
| Grant | 2025-02-14 | 34,518 | 0 | 0.0 | THEODOREDIS ROGER E | General Counsel |
| Grant | 2025-02-14 | 50,193 | 0 | 0.0 | GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III | Chief Technology Officer |
| Grant | 2025-02-14 | 46,431 | 0 | 0.0 | BRANDT CHRISTOPHER W | Officer |
| Grant | 2025-02-14 | 46,431 | 0 | 0.0 | BOATWRIGHT HENRY SCOTT | Chief Executive Officer |
| Grant | 2025-02-14 | 15,708 | 0 | 0.0 | SCHALOW LAURIE | Officer |
| Grant | 2025-02-14 | 5,676 | 0 | 0.0 | RYMER ADAM T | Chief Financial Officer |
| Grant | 2025-02-14 | 4,719 | 0 | 0.0 | MCCONNELL JAMIE | Officer |
| Grant | 2025-02-14 | 50,193 | 0 | 0.0 | HARTUNG JOHN R | President |
| Grant | 2025-02-10 | 24,650 | 785,008 | 31.8 | MCCONNELL JAMIE | Officer |
| Grant | 2025-02-10 | 1,580 | 0 | 0.0 | MAW SCOTT HARLAN | Director |
| Sell | 2025-02-10 | 11,319 | 664,426 | 58.7 | MCCONNELL JAMIE | Officer |
| Grant | 2025-02-07 | 13,969 | 800,005 | 57.3 | THEODOREDIS ROGER E | General Counsel |
| Grant | 2025-02-07 | 17,462 | 1,000,049 | 57.3 | BRANDT CHRISTOPHER W | Officer |
| Grant | 2025-02-07 | 12,223 | 700,011 | 57.3 | ESKENAZI ILENE | Officer |
| Grant | 2025-02-07 | 22,700 | 1,300,029 | 57.3 | HARTUNG JOHN R | President |
| Sell | 2025-02-07 | 15,750 | 902,563 | 57.3 | GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III | Chief Technology Officer |
| Grant | 2025-01-24 | 145,000 | 0 | 0.0 | BRANDT CHRISTOPHER W | Officer |
| Sell | 2025-01-07 | 15,750 | 917,261 | 58.2 | GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III | Chief Technology Officer |
| Sell | 2024-12-11 | 21,250 | 1,383,996 | 65.1 | SCHALOW LAURIE | Officer |
| Sell | 2024-12-09 | 15,750 | 1,013,815 | 64.4 | GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III | Chief Technology Officer |
| Grant | 2024-12-06 | 50,000 | 355,420 | 7.1 | GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III | Chief Technology Officer |
| Sell | 2024-12-06 | 44,549 | 2,906,791 | 65.2 | GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III | Chief Technology Officer |
| Grant | 2024-11-25 | 6,800 | 0 | 0.0 | SCHALOW LAURIE | Officer |
| Sell | 2024-11-12 | 20,000 | 1,200,248 | 60.0 | BRANDT CHRISTOPHER W | Officer |
| Sell | 2024-11-07 | 15,750 | 920,675 | 58.5 | GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III | Chief Technology Officer |
| Sell | 2024-10-07 | 15,750 | 898,567 | 57.1 | GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III | Chief Technology Officer |
| Sell | 2024-09-12 | 1,790 | 100,924 | 56.4 | HICKENLOOPER ROBIN S. | Director |
| Sell | 2024-09-11 | 15,750 | 866,554 | 55.0 | GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III | Chief Technology Officer |
| Grant | 2024-08-30 | 3,780 | 0 | 0.0 | BALDOCCHI ALBERT STEVEN | Director |
| Grant | 2024-08-22 | 93,546 | 5,000,034 | 53.5 | THEODOREDIS ROGER E | General Counsel |
| Grant | 2024-08-22 | 130,964 | 7,000,026 | 53.5 | GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III | Chief Technology Officer |
| Grant | 2024-08-22 | 130,964 | 7,000,026 | 53.5 | BRANDT CHRISTOPHER W | Officer |
| Grant | 2024-08-22 | 215,155 | 11,500,035 | 53.5 | BOATWRIGHT HENRY SCOTT | Chief Executive Officer |
| Grant | 2024-08-22 | 93,546 | 5,000,034 | 53.5 | SCHALOW LAURIE | Officer |
| Grant | 2024-08-22 | 93,546 | 5,000,034 | 53.5 | ESKENAZI ILENE | Officer |
| Grant | 2024-08-22 | 149,673 | 8,000,022 | 53.5 | HARTUNG JOHN R | President |
| Grant | 2024-08-06 | 20,000 | 142,168 | 7.1 | GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III | Chief Technology Officer |
| Sell | 2024-08-06 | 17,394 | 951,161 | 54.7 | GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III | Chief Technology Officer |
| Grant | 2024-07-31 | 330,000 | 0 | 0.0 | BRANDT CHRISTOPHER W | Officer |
| Grant | 2024-07-29 | 70,000 | 497,588 | 7.1 | GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III | Chief Technology Officer |
| Sell | 2024-07-29 | 60,239 | 3,069,563 | 51.0 | GARNER CURTIS EVANDER III | Chief Technology Officer |
| Grant | 2024-06-13 | 3,000 | 1,748,310 | 582.8 | HARTUNG JOHN R | Chief Financial Officer |
| Sell | 2024-06-13 | 2,461 | 7,995,809 | 3249.0 | HARTUNG JOHN R | Chief Financial Officer |
| Grant | 2024-06-06 | 67 | 0 | 0.0 | ENGLES GREGG LESLIE | Director |
| Grant | 2024-06-06 | 67 | 0 | 0.0 | HICKENLOOPER ROBIN S. | Director |
| Grant | 2024-06-06 | 67 | 0 | 0.0 | FUENTES LAURA | Director |
| Grant | 2024-06-06 | 67 | 0 | 0.0 | BALDOCCHI ALBERT STEVEN | Director |
| Grant | 2024-06-06 | 67 | 0 | 0.0 | GUTIERREZ MAURICIO | Director |
| Grant | 2024-06-06 | 67 | 0 | 0.0 | MAW SCOTT HARLAN | Director |
| Grant | 2024-06-06 | 67 | 0 | 0.0 | CAREY MATTHEW A | Director |
| Grant | 2024-06-06 | 67 | 0 | 0.0 | FILI-KRUSHEL PATRICIA D | Director |
| Grant | 2024-06-06 | 67 | 0 | 0.0 | WINSTON MARY ANN | Director |
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