CMG logo
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.
CMG
38.58 (1.66%) 0.64
51.73(B)
Consumer Discretionary
Hotels Restaurants and Leisure
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. together with its subsidiaries owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. It sells food and beverages such as burritos burrito bowls quesadillas tacos and salads as well as lifestyle bowls kids’s meal chips sides and drinks. The company also provides delivery and related services through its app and website. It has operations in the United States Canada France Germany Dubai and the United Kingdom. Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Newport Beach California.
My Holdings:
(?% ownership)
Shares:
Cost basis:
Market cap:$51.73(B)
EV:$54.97(B)
Total Equity:$3.53(B)
Div. yield:0.00%
Earnings date:Oct-29-2025
P/E:33.84
P/E (fwd):31.88
P/FCF:35.39
P/S:4.52
P/B:14.67
EPS:$1.1
EPS (fwd):$1.2
FCF/share:$1.1
Dividend/share:$0.0
Book value/share:$2.6
ROIC:19.6%
ROA:17.0%
ROE:42.6%
Gross margin:40.2%
Net margin:13.3%

CMG Valuation & Price Targets

Current Price
$38.6
Day change: +1.66%
PEvaluation
N/A
N/A
Analyst targets
N/A
N/A

More Valuation Methods

DCF (2-stage)
N/A
N/A
DCF (simple)
N/A
N/A
DCF (exit mult.)
N/A
N/A
Future P/E
N/A
N/A
Peter Lynch FV
N/A
N/A
Graham No.
N/A
N/A
DDM
N/A
N/A

PEvaluation

54% overvalued
Low
$13.2
Mid
$17.6
High
$22.0
Current price
$38.6
Fair P/E
Margin of safety
Market Model
Shares outstan...ROICRevenue growthDebt/FCFAssets/Liabili...
Economic moat: None/narrow

EPS Estimates

LowAvgHigh#
FY+11.21.21.332
FY+21.31.41.635
FY+31.51.61.817
FY+41.92.02.24
FY+52.22.22.22
EPS

Analyst Price Targets

50% undervalued
Low
$46.0
Mid
$58.0
High
$65.0
Current price
$38.6

Analyst Recommendations

Strong Buy5
Buy23
Hold8
Sell0
Strong Sell0

EPS Estimates

LowAvgHigh#
FY+11.21.21.332
FY+21.31.41.635
FY+31.51.61.817
FY+41.92.02.24
FY+52.22.22.22

2-stage DCF

First Stage Duration
Starting Free Cash Flow
First Stage Growth Rate
Terminal Growth Rate
Discount Rate

Discounted Cash Flow

Forecast years
Terminal Growth Rate
Discount Rate
Free cash flow estimates:
Y+1 est.
Y+2 est.
0.00%
Y+3 est.
0.00%
Y+4 est.
0.00%
Y+5 est.
0.00%

Discounted Cash Flow (exit mult.)

Forecast years
Exit FCF Multiple
Discount Rate
Free cash flow estimates:
Y+1 est.
Y+2 est.
0.00%
Y+3 est.
0.00%
Y+4 est.
0.00%
Y+5 est.
0.00%

Future P/E Valuation

Projection Years
Base Revenue
Revenue Growth Rate
Final Net Margin
Final P/E Ratio
Discount Rate

Peter Lynch Fair Value

Earnings Per Share
Growth Rate

Graham Formula

Earnings Per Share
EPS Growth (7-10 years)
Government Bond Rate

Dividend Discount Model

Annual Dividend
First Stage Length (Years)
First Stage Growth Rate
Final Growth Rate
Discount Rate

Summary

TTM Financials

Income (TTM)

RevenueGrossNet
Revenue$11.58(B)
Gross profit$4.65(B)
EBITDA$2.34(B)
Net income$1.54(B)
Gross margin40.2%
Operating margin17.3%
Net margin13.3%
Shares outstanding:1.34(B)

Balance sheet

Cash & ST inv.Other ST assetsLong term assetsCurrent liabilitiesLong term debtOther LT liabilitiesEquity
Total assets$9.27(B)
Current assets$1.87(B)
Total liabilities$5.74(B)
Current liabilities$1.13(B)
Cash & Short-term inv.$1.55(B)
Long-term debt$0
Total intangibles$21.94(M)
PP&E$6.71(B)

Cash flow (TTM)

CFOCFICFF
FCF$1.47(B)
CapEx$-625.80(M)
Dividends paid$0
Stock issued$0
Stock repurchased$-1.86(B)
Stock-based comp.$125.64(M)
Debt issued$0
Debt repaid$0

Per share data (TTM)

Price: $38.6
Revenue: $8.53 (4.5x | 22.1%) Gross profit: $3.47 (11.1x | 9.0%) Earnings: $1.14 (33.8x | 3.0%)
FCF: $1.09 (35.4x | 2.8%) Stock-based Comp.: $0.09 (411.7x | 0.2%) Dividend: $0.00 (N/A | 0.0%)
Total Assets: $6.91 (5.6x | 17.9%) Total Liabilities: $4.28 (9.0x | 11.1%) Book Value: $2.63 (14.7x | 6.8%) Cash & ST inv.: $1.15 (33.5x | 3.0%) Debt: $0.00 (N/A | 0.0%)

Growth Estimates

Revenue

CAGR: 12.5%
FY+1FY+2FY+3FY+4FY+5
FY+1$12.13(B)
FY+2(+12.6%)$13.66(B)
FY+3(+11.8%)$15.27(B)
FY+4(+14.9%)$17.55(B)
FY+5(+10.7%)$19.42(B)

Net Income

CAGR: 14.0%
FY+1FY+2FY+3FY+4FY+5
FY+1$1.63(B)
FY+2(+14.8%)$1.87(B)
FY+3(+14.8%)$2.15(B)
FY+4(+18.3%)$2.54(B)
FY+5(+8.5%)$2.76(B)

EPS

CAGR: 16.6%
FY+1FY+2FY+3FY+4FY+5
FY+1$1.21
FY+2(+17.4%)$1.42
FY+3(+16.2%)$1.65
FY+4(+21.8%)$2.01
FY+5(+11.4%)$2.24

FCF per share

CAGR: 16.0%
FY+1FY+2FY+3FY+4FY+5
FY+1$1.08
FY+2(+18.8%)$1.29
FY+3(+12.4%)$1.45
FY+4(+19.2%)$1.72
FY+5(+13.6%)$1.96

Historical Financials

Showing limited histrical data.
YearlyQuarterly
Income
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY20240.02.0(B)4.0(B)6.0(B)8.0(B)10.0(B)
Revenue Operating Income Net IncomeCOGSGross ProfitTotal OpEx.R&DSG&AInterest ExpenseInterest IncomePre-tax incomeIncome tax
Cash flow
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY20240.0200.0(M)400.0(M)600.0(M)800.0(M)1.0(B)1.2(B)1.4(B)
Stock-based Comp. FCFCFONet IncomeD&ACFFStock IssuedStock RepurchasedDebt IssuedDebt RepaidDividend PaidCFIAcquisitionsDivestituresCapital Expenditures
Balance sheet
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY20240.02.0(B)4.0(B)6.0(B)8.0(B)
Total Assets Total LiabilitiesCurrent assetsCash and EquivalentsShort-term investmentsInventoriesReceivablesNon-current assetsNet PP&EIntangible AssetsGoodwillCurrent liabilitiesAccounts payableNon-current liabilitiesLong-Term DebtTotal Equity
Per share data
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY20240.00.20.40.60.81.0
EPS (Basic) FCF/Share Dividend/ShareEPS (Diluted)Book value/ShareCash & ST inv./ShareDebt/Share
Ratios
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY20240.020.040.060.080.0100.0
P/E P/S EV/EarningsP/FCFP/BEV/FCFDebt/EquityPayout ratio
Margins
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY20240%5%10%15%20%25%
Net Income Margin Operating Margin Gross MarginEBITDA MarginFCF Margin
Returns
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY20240%5%10%15%20%
ROIC ROAROCEROE
Shares outstanding
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY20240.0200.0(M)400.0(M)600.0(M)800.0(M)1.0(B)1.2(B)1.4(B)
Shares (Basic)Shares (Diluted)
Market Cap.
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY20240.020.0(B)40.0(B)60.0(B)80.0(B)
Market Cap.

KPIs

No KPI data available yet!

Similar Companies

Ownership

Major holders

*Excludes indirect insider ownership

Insiders: 0.67%
Institutions: 90.32%
Other: 9.01%

Institutional ownership

0.00% Geode Capital Manageme...0.00% Vanguard Group Inc0.00% Blackrock Inc.0.00% JPMORGAN CHASE & CO0.00% Capital World Investor...0.00% Capital International ...0.00% State Street Corporati...0.00% Price (T.Rowe) Associa...0.00% Alliancebernstein L.P.0.00% FMR, LLC90.32% Others

Trading Summary

In the past year, insiders have bought $498200 worth of the company's stock, and sold $28.84(M).

Congress members have bought between $9009 - $135000 worth of the company's stock, and sold between $270009 - $725000.

Insider transactions

2025-10

$0.00
$0.00

2025-09

$0.00
$0.00

2025-08

$1.15(M)
$0.00

2025-07

$887108
$0.00

2025-06

$11.57(M)
$0.00

2025-05

$1.34(M)
$0.00

2025-04

$0.00
$0.00

2025-03

$1.03(M)
$498200

2025-02

$2.66(M)
$0.00

2025-01

$917261
$0.00

2024-12

$5.30(M)
$0.00

2024-11

$2.12(M)
$0.00

2024-10

$898567
$0.00
DateSharesTotal ($)Price ($)NameTitle
Sell2025-08-2526,5761,146,72543.1ESKENAZI ILENEOfficer
Grant2025-08-115,34000.0BALDOCCHI ALBERT STEVENDirector
Grant2025-07-2516,040750,03046.8KIDD JASON ALLANChief Operating Officer
Grant2025-07-2428,54500.0BRANDT CHRISTOPHER WPresident
Sell2025-07-0715,750887,10856.3GARNER CURTIS EVANDER IIIOfficer
Sell2025-06-2563,0003,473,83355.1GARNER CURTIS EVANDER IIIPresident
Sell2025-06-122,076106,14751.1FILI-KRUSHEL PATRICIA DDirector
Sell2025-06-122,250115,22951.2HICKENLOOPER ROBIN S.Director
Grant2025-06-114,152215,03251.8FILI-KRUSHEL PATRICIA DDirector
Grant2025-06-114,152215,03251.8WINSTON MARY ANNDirector
Grant2025-06-114,152215,03251.8BALDOCCHI ALBERT STEVENDirector
Grant2025-06-114,152215,03251.8FUENTES LAURADirector
Grant2025-06-114,152215,03251.8GUTIERREZ MAURICIODirector
Grant2025-06-114,152215,03251.8MAW SCOTT HARLANDirector
Grant2025-06-114,152215,03251.8CAREY MATTHEW ADirector
Grant2025-06-114,152215,03251.8HICKENLOOPER ROBIN S.Director
Sell2025-06-0619,000997,13352.5BOATWRIGHT HENRY SCOTTChief Executive Officer
Sell2025-06-0423,3021,214,89452.1GARNER CURTIS EVANDER IIIOfficer
Grant2025-06-0430,000349,65011.7GARNER CURTIS EVANDER IIIOfficer
Sell2025-06-02113,8755,659,28049.7THEODOREDIS ROGER E.General Counsel
Grant2025-06-02128,4504,092,98431.9THEODOREDIS ROGER E.General Counsel
Sell2025-05-2123,1341,176,23250.8GARNER CURTIS EVANDER IIIChief Technology Officer
Grant2025-05-2130,000349,65011.7GARNER CURTIS EVANDER IIIChief Technology Officer
Sell2025-05-143,087161,82952.4MCCONNELL JAMIEOfficer
Sell2025-03-1320,7611,033,26149.8GARNER CURTIS EVANDER IIIOfficer
Grant2025-03-1324,225172,1917.1GARNER CURTIS EVANDER IIIOfficer
Buy2025-03-059,400498,20053.0GUTIERREZ MAURICIODirector
Sell2025-02-2520,9371,096,29752.4GARNER CURTIS EVANDER IIIChief Technology Officer
Grant2025-02-2524,225172,2017.1GARNER CURTIS EVANDER IIIChief Technology Officer
Grant2025-02-1450,19300.0GARNER CURTIS EVANDER IIIChief Technology Officer
Grant2025-02-1446,43100.0BRANDT CHRISTOPHER WOfficer
Grant2025-02-1446,43100.0BOATWRIGHT HENRY SCOTTChief Executive Officer
Grant2025-02-1415,70800.0SCHALOW LAURIEOfficer
Grant2025-02-1450,19300.0HARTUNG JOHN RPresident
Grant2025-02-1434,51800.0THEODOREDIS ROGER E.General Counsel
Grant2025-02-145,67600.0RYMER ADAM TChief Financial Officer
Grant2025-02-144,71900.0MCCONNELL JAMIEOfficer
Sell2025-02-1011,319664,42658.7MCCONNELL JAMIEOfficer
Grant2025-02-1024,650785,00831.8MCCONNELL JAMIEOfficer
Grant2025-02-101,58000.0MAW SCOTT HARLANDirector
Sell2025-02-0715,750902,56357.3GARNER CURTIS EVANDER IIIChief Technology Officer
Grant2025-02-0722,7001,300,02957.3HARTUNG JOHN RPresident
Grant2025-02-0717,4621,000,04957.3BRANDT CHRISTOPHER WOfficer
Grant2025-02-0713,969800,00557.3THEODOREDIS ROGER E.General Counsel
Grant2025-02-0712,223700,01157.3ESKENAZI ILENEOfficer
Grant2025-01-24145,00000.0BRANDT CHRISTOPHER WOfficer
Sell2025-01-0715,750917,26158.2GARNER CURTIS EVANDER IIIChief Technology Officer
Sell2024-12-1121,2501,383,99665.1SCHALOW LAURIEOfficer
Sell2024-12-0915,7501,013,81564.4GARNER CURTIS EVANDER IIIChief Technology Officer
Sell2024-12-0644,5492,906,79165.2GARNER CURTIS EVANDER IIIChief Technology Officer
Grant2024-12-0650,000355,4207.1GARNER CURTIS EVANDER IIIChief Technology Officer
Grant2024-11-256,80000.0SCHALOW LAURIEOfficer
Sell2024-11-1220,0001,200,24860.0BRANDT CHRISTOPHER WOfficer
Sell2024-11-0715,750920,67558.5GARNER CURTIS EVANDER IIIChief Technology Officer
Sell2024-10-0715,750898,56757.1GARNER CURTIS EVANDER IIIChief Technology Officer
Sell2024-09-121,790100,92456.4HICKENLOOPER ROBIN S.Director
Sell2024-09-1115,750866,55455.0GARNER CURTIS EVANDER IIIChief Technology Officer

Congressional trading

2025-10

$0.00
$0.00

2025-09

$0.00
$0.00

2025-08

$0.00
$0.00

2025-07

$0.00
$0.00

2025-06

$175001
$8001

2025-05

$75001
$8001

2025-04

$8001
$8001

2025-03

$32501
$8001

2025-02

$16001
$0.00

2025-01

$16001
$0.00

2024-12

$0.00
$0.00

2024-11

$0.00
$16001

2024-10

$0.00
$24002
DatePoliticianPartyChamberAmount ($)
Sell2025-06-12John W. HickenlooperDSenate$100,001 - $250,000
Buy2025-06-03Cleo FieldsDHouse$1,001 - $15,000
Buy2025-05-28Ro KhannaDHouse$1,001 - $15,000
Sell2025-05-12Jefferson ShreveRHouse$50,001 - $100,000
Sell2025-04-23Ro KhannaDHouse$1,001 - $15,000
Buy2025-04-15Ro KhannaDHouse$1,001 - $15,000
Buy2025-03-20Byron DonaldsRHouse$1,001 - $15,000
Sell2025-03-13Jefferson ShreveRHouse$15,001 - $50,000
Sell2025-02-26Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.DHouse$1,001 - $15,000
Sell2025-02-25Ro KhannaDHouse$1,001 - $15,000
Sell2025-01-13Rob BresnahanRHouse$1,001 - $15,000
Sell2025-01-13Rob BresnahanRHouse$1,001 - $15,000
Buy2024-11-12Ro KhannaDHouse$1,001 - $15,000
Buy2024-11-12Ro KhannaDHouse$1,001 - $15,000
Buy2024-10-14Ro KhannaDHouse$1,001 - $15,000
Buy2024-10-14Ro KhannaDHouse$1,001 - $15,000
Buy2024-10-11Ro KhannaDHouse$1,001 - $15,000
Sell2024-09-12John W. HickenlooperDSenate$100,001 - $250,000

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