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Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc.
CMG
57.08 (0.00%) 0.00
77.36(B)
Consumer Discretionary
Hotels Restaurants and Leisure
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. together with its subsidiaries owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. It sells food and beverages through offering burritos burrito bowls quesadillas tacos and salads as well as lifestyle bowls kids’s meal chips sides and drinks. The company also provides delivery and related services its app and website. It has operations in the United States Canada France Germany Dubai and the United Kingdom. Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Newport Beach California.
Holdings:
Shares:
Cost basis:

Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (CMG) price target and intrinsic value estimate

CMG's fair price estimate is $22.0

This valuation is based on a fair P/E of 13.1 and EPS estimates of $1.68

The median analyst price target for CMG is $66.0.

Analyst price targets range from $42.0 to $75.0

Is CMG overvalued or undervalued?

CMG is currently trading at $57.08

CMG is overvalued by 160% using the pevaluation method.

CMG is undervalued by 14% compared to median analyst price targets.

Do you agree with this valuation?

Valuation

PEvaluation

Current price
$57.08
Overvalued
Low
$16.5
Median
$22.0
High
$27.5
Fair P/E
Margin of safety

Analyst valuation

Current price
$57.08
Fairly valued
Low
$42.0
Median
$66.0
High
$75.0
Strong Buy3
Buy21
Hold10
Sell1
Strong Sell0

Discounted cash-flow

N/A
Negative FCF or FCF estimates
TTM FCFFCF est.Growth FCFTerminal FCF
Discount
rate
10%
Terminal
rate
5%
Growth p.
length
5y
Growth p.
rate
10%
Shares outstan...ROICRevenue growthDebt/FCFAssets/Liabili...
Economic moat: None/narrow
None/narrowMediumWideVery wide

Overview

Market data

Market cap:$77.36(B)
Enterprise value:$80.48(B)
Total Equity:$3.66(B)
Shares outstanding:1.36(B)
Div. yield:0.00%
P/S:6.90
P/E:50.96
P/FCF:51.42
P/B:21.22
EPS:$1.1
FCF per share:$1.1
Dividend per share:$0.0

Income (TTM)

RevenueGrossNet
Revenue$11.31(B)
Gross profit$4.59(B)
EBITDA$2.29(B)
Net income$1.53(B)
Gross margin40.5%
Net margin13.6%

Balance sheet

Cash & ST inv.Other ST assetsLong term assetsCurrent liabilitiesLong term debtOther LT liabilitiesEquity
Total assets$9.20(B)
Total liabilities$5.55(B)
Cash & Short-term inv.$1.42(B)
Long-term debt$0
Debt issued$0
Debt repaid$0

Cash flow (TTM)

CFOCFICFF
FCF$1.51(B)
CapEx$-593.60(M)
Dividends paid$0
Stock issued$0
Stock repurchased$-1.08(B)
Stock-based comp.$131.73(M)

Future Growth

Revenue

CAGR: 12.9%
FY+1FY+2FY+3FY+4FY+5
FY+1$12.67(B)
FY+2$14.36(B)
FY+3$16.32(B)
FY+4$18.44(B)
FY+5$20.58(B)

Net Income

CAGR: 17.1%
FY+1FY+2FY+3FY+4FY+5
FY+1$1.74(B)
FY+2$2.07(B)
FY+3$2.45(B)
FY+4$2.88(B)
FY+5$3.27(B)

EPS

CAGR: 18.9%
FY+1FY+2FY+3FY+4FY+5
FY+1$1.29
FY+2$1.54
FY+3$1.86
FY+4$2.22
FY+5$2.58

FCF per share

CAGR: 19.6%
FY+1FY+2FY+3
FY+1$1.70
FY+2$2.04
FY+3$2.43

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Historical Financials

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Income
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