SPOT logo
Spotify Technology S.A.
SPOT
775.90 (5.53%) 42.88
159.10(B)
Communication Services
Entertainment
Spotify Technology S.A. together with its subsidiaries provides audio streaming subscription services worldwide. It operates through two segments Premium and Ad-Supported. The Premium segment offers unlimited online and offline streaming access to its catalog of music and podcasts without commercial breaks to its subscribers. This segment sells directly to the end users. The Ad-Supported segment provides on-demand online access to its catalog of music and unlimited online access to the catalog of podcasts to its users on their computers tablets and compatible mobile devices. The company also offers sales distribution and marketing contract research and development and customer and other support services. Spotify Technology S.A. was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Luxembourg City Luxembourg.
My Holdings:
(?% ownership)
Shares:
Cost basis:
Market cap:$159.10(B)
EV:$163.31(B)
Total Equity:$6.76(B)
Div. yield:0.00%
Earnings date:Jul-22-2025
P/E:124.34
P/E (fwd):74.68
P/FCF:56.31
P/S:8.94
P/B:23.54
EPS:$6.2
EPS (fwd):$10.4
FCF/share:$13.8
Dividend/share:$0.0
Book value/share:$33.0
ROIC:17.3%
ROA:10.6%
ROE:24.3%

SPOT Valuation & Price Targets

  Current Price
775.90
PE Valuation
N/A
PEvaluation is not available for SPOT.
Analyst targets
N/A
No analyst estimates for SPOT.
DCF
N/A
Adjust your assumptions to reach a valid valuation.
DCF (exit mult.)
N/A
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Future P/E
N/A
Adjust your assumptions to reach a valid valuation.
Peter Lynch FV
N/A
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Graham No.
N/A
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DDM
N/A
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PEvaluation

76% overvalued
Low
$139
Mid
$185
High
$258
Current price
$776
Fair P/E
Margin of safety
Market Model
Shares outstan...ROICRevenue growthDebt/FCFAssets/Liabili...
Economic moat: None/narrow

Analyst Price Targets

9% overvalued
Low
$463
Mid
$705
High
$852
Current price
$776
Strong Buy6
Buy20
Hold11
Sell0
Strong Sell3

Estimated EPS

LowAvgHigh#
FY+18.210.412.825
FY+211.615.021.324
FY+313.419.126.515
FY+415.219.421.84
FY+517.521.225.02

Discounted Cash Flow

Forecast years
Terminal Growth Rate
Discount Rate
Free cash flow estimates:
Y+1 est.
Y+2 est.
0.00%
Y+3 est.
0.00%
Y+4 est.
0.00%
Y+5 est.
0.00%

Discounted Cash Flow (exit mult.)

Forecast years
Exit FCF Multiple
Discount Rate
Free cash flow estimates:
Y+1 est.
Y+2 est.
0.00%
Y+3 est.
0.00%
Y+4 est.
0.00%
Y+5 est.
0.00%

Future P/E Valuation

Projection Years
Base Revenue
Revenue Growth Rate
Final Net Margin
Final P/E Ratio
Discount Rate

Peter Lynch Fair Value

Earnings Per Share
Growth Rate (*)

(*) Growth rate is capped between 0 and 25

Graham Formula

Earnings Per Share
Expected Growth Rate
Government Bond Rate

(*) Growth rate is capped to 25

Dividend Discount Model

Annual Dividend
First Stage Length (Years)
First Stage Growth Rate
Final Growth Rate
Discount Rate

(*) First stage rowth rate is capped to 20%

Based on 0 valuation methods, the average fair value estimate for SPOT is $N/A (NaN% overvalued).

Valuations range from $1.7976931348623157e+308 (N/A) to $0.0 (N/A).

TTM Financials

Income (TTM)

RevenueGrossNet
Revenue$17.56(B)
Gross profit$5.48(B)
EBITDA$1.95(B)
Net income$1.26(B)
Gross margin31.2%
Operating margin10.5%
Net margin7.2%
Shares outstanding:205.06(M)

Balance sheet

Cash & ST inv.Other ST assetsLong term assetsCurrent liabilitiesLong term debtOther LT liabilitiesEquity
Total assets$13.73(B)
Current assets$9.58(B)
Total liabilities$6.97(B)
Current liabilities$6.45(B)
Cash & Short-term inv.$7.53(B)
Long-term debt$1.59(B)
Total intangibles$1.29(B)
PP&E$433.84(M)

Cash flow (TTM)

CFOCFICFF
FCF$2.82(B)
CapEx$-19.47(M)
Dividends paid$0
Stock issued$968.30(M)
Stock repurchased$-179.60(M)
Stock-based comp.$259.66(M)
Debt issued$0
Debt repaid$-82.22(M)

Per share data (TTM)

Price: $776
Revenue: $86.8 (8.9x | 11.2%) Gross profit: $26.7 (29.0x | 3.4%) Earnings: $6.24 (124.3x | 0.8%)
FCF: $13.8 (56.3x | 1.8%) Stock-based Comp.: $1.27 (612.7x | 0.2%) Dividend: $0.00 (N/A | 0.0%)
Total Assets: $66.9 (11.6x | 8.6%) Total Liabilities: $34.0 (22.8x | 4.4%) Book Value: $33.0 (23.5x | 4.2%) Cash & ST inv.: $36.7 (21.1x | 4.7%) Debt: $7.78 (99.8x | 1.0%)

Growth Estimates

Revenue

CAGR: 12.8%
FY+1FY+2FY+3FY+4FY+5
FY+1$20.58(B)
FY+2(+15.7%)$23.81(B)
FY+3(+13.8%)$27.10(B)
FY+4(+11.6%)$30.24(B)
FY+5(+10.2%)$33.34(B)

Net Income

CAGR: 22.1%
FY+1FY+2FY+3FY+4FY+5
FY+1$2.16(B)
FY+2(+43.2%)$3.09(B)
FY+3(+27.8%)$3.95(B)
FY+4(+8.5%)$4.29(B)
FY+5(+12.0%)$4.80(B)

EPS

CAGR: 19.6%
FY+1FY+2FY+3FY+4FY+5
FY+1$10.39
FY+2(+44.1%)$14.97
FY+3(+27.4%)$19.07
FY+4(+1.8%)$19.42
FY+5(+9.3%)$21.23

FCF per share

CAGR: 21.8%
FY+1FY+2FY+3
FY+1$15.10
FY+2(+26.4%)$19.08
FY+3(+17.3%)$22.39

Historical Financials

Showing limited histrical data. Access 10+ years of financials now! Upgrade
YearlyQuarterly
Income
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024TTM5Y avg5Y CAGR
Revenue9.59(B)10.92(B)12.42(B)14.45(B)16.41(B)17.50(B)12.76(B)14%
COGS7.14(B)8.00(B)9.32(B)10.74(B)11.46(B)12.06(B)9.33(B)13%
Gross Profit2.45(B)2.93(B)3.10(B)3.70(B)4.95(B)5.44(B)3.43(B)19%
Total OpEx.2.81(B)2.82(B)3.80(B)4.19(B)3.52(B)3.60(B)3.43(B)6%
  R&D1.02(B)1.03(B)1.47(B)1.88(B)1.56(B)1.59(B)1.39(B)11%
  SG&A1.79(B)1.79(B)2.33(B)2.31(B)1.96(B)2.01(B)2.04(B)2%
Operating Income-356.45(M)106.22(M)-698.09(M)-486.37(M)1.43(B)1.84(B)-1.08(M)N/A%
Interest Expense-55.96(M)-71.19(M)-47.67(M)-41.44(M)-25.13(M)-31.26(M)-48.28(M)-18%
Interest Income20.68(M)12.43(M)49.79(M)142.86(M)233.51(M)263.15(M)91.85(M)83%
Pre-tax income-862.53(M)281.36(M)-391.95(M)-550.71(M)1.40(B)1.61(B)-23.93(M)N/A%
Income tax155.72(M)-319.77(M)-63.56(M)-29.44(M)-212.56(M)-354.03(M)-93.92(M)N/A%
Net Income-706.81(M)-38.42(M)-455.51(M)-580.15(M)1.19(B)1.26(B)-117.85(M)N/A%
Cash flow
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
Stock-based Comp.FCFCFONet IncomeD&ACFFStock IssuedStock RepurchasedDebt IssuedDebt RepaidDividend PaidCFIAcquisitionsDivestituresCapital Expenditures
Balance sheet
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
Total AssetsTotal LiabilitiesCurrent assetsCash and EquivalentsShort-term investmentsInventoriesReceivablesNon-current assetsNet PP&EIntangible AssetsGoodwillCurrent liabilitiesAccounts payableNon-current liabilitiesLong-Term DebtTotal Equity
Per share data
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
EPS (Basic)FCF/ShareDividend/ShareEPS (Diluted)Book value/ShareCash & ST inv./ShareDebt/Share
Ratios
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
P/EP/SEV/EarningsP/FCFP/BEV/FCFDebt/EquityPayout ratio
Margins
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
Net Income MarginOperating MarginGross MarginEBITDA MarginFCF Margin
Returns
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
ROICROAROCEROE
Shares outstanding
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
Shares (Basic)Shares (Diluted)
Market Cap.
FY2015FY2016FY2017FY2018FY2019FY2020FY2021FY2022FY2023FY2024
Market Cap.

Similar Companies

Ownership

Major holders

Insiders: 24.32%
Institutions: 69.17%
Other: 6.51%

Institutional ownership

5.53% Blackrock Inc.5.29% BAILLIE GIFFORD & CO3.31% Morgan Stanley2.92% JPMORGAN CHASE & CO2.48% FMR, LLC2.20% State Street Corporati...2.08% Jennison Associates LL...1.72% Massachusetts Financia...1.65% WCM Investment Managem...1.12% Wellington Management ...40.87% Others

Insider transactions

Show:
Buys
Sells
Grants
DateSharesTotal ($)Price ($)NameTitle

Tools

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Required Investment

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Future Dividend Yield

Base Dividend
Current Price
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What is the Future Yield Calculator?

The Future Yield Calculator helps you estimate the future dividend yield of a stock based on its current dividend, price, and expected dividend growth rate.

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Summary